Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.275264 3.463943 3.664477 3.894655 4.153061 4.436014 4.771807
2025-04-13 2.897879 3.139179 3.407713 3.732278 4.119001 4.571921 5.153464
2025-04-20 2.717685 3.005872 3.339933 3.763473 4.298239 4.969561 5.910183
2025-04-27 2.581422 2.906341 3.296585 3.813244 4.502477 5.430308 6.859796
2025-05-04 2.486414 2.845000 3.290055 3.904284 4.770243 6.026143 8.186640
2025-05-11 2.382498 2.761808 3.245391 3.936628 4.959801 6.550709 9.614782
2025-05-18 2.270890 2.658905 3.164028 3.906593 5.051028 6.942117 10.999722
2025-05-25 2.143348 2.525931 3.030848 3.787155 4.985554 7.054049 11.879492
2025-06-01 2.054163 2.437899 2.951945 3.738081 5.023561 7.359315 13.420058
2025-06-08 1.979292 2.364301 2.887243 3.702815 5.077673 7.708681 15.386808
2025-06-15 1.926862 2.317910 2.857161 3.716725 5.217054 8.271646 18.701043
2025-06-22 1.857293 2.244000 2.782338 3.652409 5.205782 8.503748 21.185427
2025-06-29 1.783456 2.165201 2.702250 3.583842 5.199054 8.803398 25.037416
2025-07-06 1.703400 2.074483 2.600118 3.471855 5.096936 8.850553 27.969073
2025-07-13 1.669928 2.048398 2.593061 3.518337 5.316620 9.847819 43.627434
2025-07-20 1.641219 2.027547 2.592375 3.575667 5.572376 11.124736 91.551267
2025-07-27 1.621630 2.018742 2.609392 3.665924 5.922535 13.026677 4956.952743
2025-08-03 1.591384 1.992537 2.597024 3.701265 6.157380 14.783343 NaN
2025-08-10 1.551573 1.950170 2.556077 3.678850 6.248033 16.048759 NaN
2025-08-17 1.498332 1.885554 2.475815 3.574636 6.112397 16.070443 NaN
2025-08-24 1.460416 1.842805 2.429310 3.532374 6.133655 17.038413 NaN
2025-08-31 1.427103 1.805820 2.390439 3.501844 6.181888 18.289268 NaN
2025-09-07 1.403901 1.783377 2.374439 3.515237 6.355846 20.771599 NaN